SurelySo — weather guarantees, now available

Weather forecasts that pay when they're wrong

Get a clear daily forecast with a confidence score. If we miss, you automatically receive a credit — no claims, no hassle.

San Francisco

Friday, August 14

Foggy coastal

68°

Low 54°

Mostly Sunny

8% rain12 mph
Your guarantee

Our forecast

NO RAIN

Confidence92%

If measurable rain occurs

$5 credit

1 active subscribers
$20 paid in guarantees
50% 30-day accuracy

How it works

Simple as checking the weather — with a guarantee built in.

1

Subscribe

Choose your city and get a daily forecast with a built-in guarantee.

2

Get your forecast

Each morning, receive a clear prediction with a confidence score before it locks.

3

We stand behind it

If our forecast is wrong by objective rules, you automatically receive a credit.

4

Transparent resolution

Every outcome is verified against official weather station data and logged publicly.

Historical accuracy

We publish every forecast and outcome. Transparency is part of the product.

50%

30-day accuracy

2 of 4 forecasts correct

View full accuracy report

Recent guarantees paid

San Francisco

0.04 in rain recorded — forecast was NO RAIN

$5

Wednesday, Aug 12

Chicago

Unexpected afternoon storm — forecast was NO RAIN

$5

Monday, Aug 10

New York

Dry day — forecast was RAIN LIKELY

$5

Saturday, Aug 8

Los Angeles

0.02 in rain recorded — forecast was NO RAIN

$5

Thursday, Aug 6

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  • Daily forecast with confidence score
  • Automatic credits when we're wrong
  • Fully transparent resolution
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